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Lions vs. Texans Betting Preview, Analysis
Detroit Lions Betting Preview
It’s getting hard to say anything interesting about the Lions, who increasingly look like they’re Super Bowl-bound and in a class of their own in the NFC.
If there’s been one knock on Jared Goff and the Lions, it’s been skepticism about how Goff holds up in outdoor games, especially in bad weather. Neither he nor this offense struggled last Sunday at Lambeau in wet conditions (18-of-22 for 145 yards and 1 TD), though. The Lions built a 17-3 lead at halftime of that game and Green Bay never threatened in the second half.
Detroit also addressed its biggest weakness personnel-wise via a trade for veteran Za’Darius Smith this week. Smith, who will bolster a D-line that is without star Aidan Hutchinson for the rest of the year, is hardly a household name, but he fills a position of need for a team with few weaknesses right now.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
Even if the Texans continue to stumble offensively, they’ll likely make the playoffs thanks to the poor state of the AFC South, where the Colts, Jaguars and Titans are all below .500.
But Houston has to get healthy — and better — on the O-line in a hurry if it wants to win a playoff game, even if its defense continues to play well. C.J. Stroud was sacked eight times in his last game, a road loss to the Jets in Week 9. With no time to throw, he completed just 11-of-30 passes for 191 yards despite a good night on the ground by Joe Mixon.
Getting speedy WR Nico Collins back (assuming he plays — he’s still listed as questionable after being activated off IR this weekend) will help, but it will hardly matter if Stroud — who was also sacked four times and held to 81 yards on 10-of-21 passing vs. Green Bay — doesn’t have any time in the pocket.
Lions vs. Texans Prediction
At some point, the Lions will probably slow down, but we don’t see that happening in this one. The return of Collins would be massive for Houston, which should be able to create a few big plays in the passing game.
Still, this offense isn’t playing nearly well enough for us to take the Texans over Dan Campbell’s Lions, who have looked like the best, most complete team in the league thus far.
We’ll take the Lions to win by a touchdown or more.
Lions vs. Texans Best Bets
Detroit to cover is the obvious play in this one, and we see no reason to overthink this matchup. Right now, Houston is not as good as its 6-3 record might lead you to believe it is, and barring a bunch of unforced errors by Detroit, we expect the visitors to win this one comfortably.
- Lions -3.5 (-104 at FanDuel) 1 unit
- Lions alt spread -6.5 (+152 at DraftKings) 0.5 units
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