A leading bookmaker is offering odds of 2/5 (71.4 percent) on Donald Trump completing a full four-year second presidential term in the White House.
The offer was made by William Hill, which primarily attributed its degree of skepticism over Trump completing his term to the 78-year-old president-elect’s “age and health.”
Trump won the 2024 presidential election with 312 Electoral College votes against 226 for Democrat Kamala Harris, according to the Associated Press, and he’s on track to win the popular vote for the first time. His first term in office was unusually tumultuous, with the Republican firebrand facing two impeachment attempts in Congress.
Speaking to Newsweek, William Hill spokesperson Lee Phelps said: “Trump has control of the Supreme Court, Senate and House of Representatives – all with a conservative majority – plus he has the world’s richest man to call on for support, so at 2/5, it looks highly likely he will see out his full term until January 2029.
“Although he will probably face additional lawsuits and new impeachment attempts, Trump’s hold on the levers of power may enable him to remain immune to these threats. Arguably a bigger threat to him not lasting the full term is his age and health.”
ALLISON ROBBERT/POOL/AFP/GETTY
Newsweek contacted Donald Trump’s campaign team for comment via email.
During the presidential race, Trump refused to release his full medical records, in contrast to Harris. President Joe Biden had all but secured the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination, but the 81-year-old dropped out of the running in July and endorsed Harris, amid intense pressure from within his own party due to concerns over his age and health.
In his first term Trump faced two efforts to remove him from office. In February 2020, the Senate voted to acquit Trump on charges of abuse of power and obstruction of Congress related to claims he put pressure on the Ukrainian government to investigate his domestic political opponents in return for military aid.
Trump was also acquitted in the Senate of incitement to insurrection in February 2021, after he had left office, as less than two-thirds of Senators voted to convict. This trial was in response to Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election result and the January 6, 2021, Capital Hill riot.
William Hill also offered odds of 1/7 (87.5 percent) on former independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receiving a government job, along with 1/10 (90.9 percent) for Florida Senator Marco Rubio and 4/1 (20 percent) for Donald Trump Jr.
On Tuesday, Trump announced that Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy would lead a newly created Department of Government Efficiency, with a mandate to “slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies.”
